By Ilyce Glink of CBS Money Watch
What does the U.S. housing market look like without all the life support provided by the federal government?
A little too much like a corpse.
In the wake of the 27 percent drop in existing home sales announced by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) earlier this week to a level last seen 15 years ago, and a 12.1 percent drop in new home sales to a level not ever seen since records started being kept in 1963, Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) Secretary Shaun Donovan took to the airwaves this morning to announce that the federal government was going to do everything in its power to restart the housing market, including:
New mortgage program for unemployed borrowers. Apparently the HAMP unemployed borrowers program isn’t exactly catching on fire with lenders.
New FHA refinance program for homeowners who are underwater. Gee, HAMP isn’t working there too well, so perhaps HUD is going to take the very savvy suggestion made by Bill Gross at PIMCO and perhaps refinance all homeowners who are current on their loans to an FHA loan at 4 percent. If 10 million Americans can take advantage of an FHA refinance and lower their payments by $100 per month, the government is betting that at least SOME of that money will find its way into economic firmament, and help pull us out of the recession.
New home buyer tax credits. Donovan didn’t exactly say “Yes” to this one, but he hasn’t ruled it out either.
Let’s just call it like it is, folks. The real estate market is in a depression. It’s not a recession when your sales are down 80 percent or more. It’s not a recession when you’ve wound back sales to where they were 15 years ago.
Will any of these programs pull the housing market out of its depression? I doubt it. As I said more than a year ago, what we need are jobs. Jobs pay the bills - mortgage, credit card, utilities, food, etc. If you don’t have a job, all the government refinancing programs in the world aren’t going to make a difference.
Showing posts with label San Diego. Show all posts
Showing posts with label San Diego. Show all posts
Sunday, August 29, 2010
Friday, August 27, 2010
OPEN HOUSE In CARLSBAD CA. 8/28-8/29
3016 Rancho La Presa Carlsbad, CA. 92009. Come on down and view this delightful twinhome with a downstairs Master Suite on a quiet cul-de-sac in wonderful Rancho Carrillo. This great home with a flexible floor plan features 2 upstairs bedrooms plus a large loft (great as an office, library, gym - you name it), spacious living room w/ soaring ceilings, & an open kitchen (with granite counters) w/ views to the private backyard. You'll enjoy the ease of the downstairs tile floors & the low maintenance yard. Plus, enjoy all that Rancho Carrillo has to offer!
Friday, August 13, 2010
Mortgage Rates Still Falling
By ANDREW KEATTS, The Daily Transcript
Monday, August 9, 2010
Mirroring the national trend, average mortgage rates continued to fall in San Diego County during the week ending Aug. 6, according to numbers released by the San Diego Chapter of the California Association of Mortgage Professionals (SD-CAMP).
A 30-year fixed mortgage in San Diego carries an average interest rate of 4.075 percent, down from 4.1 percent last week. Interest on 15-year fixed loans remained at 3.725 percent.
Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) reported last week that 30-year fixed loans during the same period hit an all-time low of 4.49 percent, down from 4.45 percent the week previous and 5.22 percent a year ago.
Interest rates for 15-year fixed mortgages during the period were 3.95 percent, down from 4 percent a week ago and 4.63 percent a year ago.
Conventional seven-year ARM rates remained at 3.25 percent in the county. Rates on five- and three-year ARMs were 2.95 and 2.925 percent, down from the previous week when both were 3.031 percent.
Thirty-year fixed FHA and VA loans were both 4.225 percent, up from the week previous when FHA loans were 4.175 percent and VA loans were 4.188 percent.
"This is a continuation of the national trend with slight adjustments," said David Van Waldick, president elect for 2011 of SD-CAMP and principal of Western Mortgage in Carlsbad, adding that the averages can be affected in any given week by market conditions or an individual lender’s position.
Warning that predicting short-term fluctuations of mortgage rates is difficult because they are affected by global economic developments, Van Waldick said he could envision rates continuing to decline, setting 3.5 percent on a 30-year fixed loan as the absolute basement.
"You could argue that given government stimulus and bank borrowing rates, that we’d see rates lower still," he said. "With the Fed charging banks at essentially 0 percent interest, you could say they should be passing this on to consumers. Clearly banks seem to be holding a little juice in their own pockets."
He said the increases in rates for FHA and VA loans could be attributed to adjustments from individual lenders, but speculated that they might be the result of the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s announcement last week that it would reduce upfront premiums on FHA loans while increasing monthly premiums.
The averages reflect the published rates of five major mortgage lenders or banks in San Diego County for each of the six mortgage types.
Marsha Lenyk, president of Award Mortgage Inc. compiled the rates on Friday, Aug. 6.
SD-CAMP’s averages assume a loan amount up to the conforming loan limit of $417,000, a maximum loan-to-value of 80 percent and an interest rate with one point origination fee for borrowers with a minimum credit score of 720 -- with fully documented income for a single-family, detached, owner-occupied, primary residence
Monday, August 9, 2010
Mirroring the national trend, average mortgage rates continued to fall in San Diego County during the week ending Aug. 6, according to numbers released by the San Diego Chapter of the California Association of Mortgage Professionals (SD-CAMP).
A 30-year fixed mortgage in San Diego carries an average interest rate of 4.075 percent, down from 4.1 percent last week. Interest on 15-year fixed loans remained at 3.725 percent.
Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) reported last week that 30-year fixed loans during the same period hit an all-time low of 4.49 percent, down from 4.45 percent the week previous and 5.22 percent a year ago.
Interest rates for 15-year fixed mortgages during the period were 3.95 percent, down from 4 percent a week ago and 4.63 percent a year ago.
Conventional seven-year ARM rates remained at 3.25 percent in the county. Rates on five- and three-year ARMs were 2.95 and 2.925 percent, down from the previous week when both were 3.031 percent.
Thirty-year fixed FHA and VA loans were both 4.225 percent, up from the week previous when FHA loans were 4.175 percent and VA loans were 4.188 percent.
"This is a continuation of the national trend with slight adjustments," said David Van Waldick, president elect for 2011 of SD-CAMP and principal of Western Mortgage in Carlsbad, adding that the averages can be affected in any given week by market conditions or an individual lender’s position.
Warning that predicting short-term fluctuations of mortgage rates is difficult because they are affected by global economic developments, Van Waldick said he could envision rates continuing to decline, setting 3.5 percent on a 30-year fixed loan as the absolute basement.
"You could argue that given government stimulus and bank borrowing rates, that we’d see rates lower still," he said. "With the Fed charging banks at essentially 0 percent interest, you could say they should be passing this on to consumers. Clearly banks seem to be holding a little juice in their own pockets."
He said the increases in rates for FHA and VA loans could be attributed to adjustments from individual lenders, but speculated that they might be the result of the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s announcement last week that it would reduce upfront premiums on FHA loans while increasing monthly premiums.
The averages reflect the published rates of five major mortgage lenders or banks in San Diego County for each of the six mortgage types.
Marsha Lenyk, president of Award Mortgage Inc. compiled the rates on Friday, Aug. 6.
SD-CAMP’s averages assume a loan amount up to the conforming loan limit of $417,000, a maximum loan-to-value of 80 percent and an interest rate with one point origination fee for borrowers with a minimum credit score of 720 -- with fully documented income for a single-family, detached, owner-occupied, primary residence
Saturday, August 7, 2010
Over Priced Homes Don't Sell Well
Overpriced Homes-Sell Slower and For Less If there’s anything we can take away from the plethora of Bank Owned Foreclosures is they certainly know how to price a home to move!
I maintain that you almost always shoot yourself in the foot by overpricing your home. Your home will almost always sale at or above market value by pricing at or below market value.
So why is that? Well think back at when YOU were buying a home. Remember when a “great deal” came on the market and everybody and their agents were “swarming” to the open house? You placed your offer only to find out their were 10 other offers and they were going above the asking price? This “bargain price” created an auction affect and got people excited. THAT is how banks are pricing their homes and if you want your home to move quickly and for the most amount of money, this is a winning strategy.
So why don’t sellers do it? I think it’s because there’s a little voice inside of our head (and pocketbook) that says “what if”.
“What if”- I can get $50K over market value. (even if someone were excited enough about your home to pay $50K over appraised value, their lender won’t loan the money if the value isn’t there. No loan, no buyer)
“What if”- I don’t get multiple offers and I only get one offer (May be still overpriced!)
Often fear (and greed) hold us back from making smart choices! Don’t feel bad though, even Real Estate Agents are guilty of senselessly overpricing their homes. Somehow when it’s our turn to sell all of our “market knowledge” becomes goo and leaks out of our ears! It’s like the hairdresser with bad hair!
The bottom line is, almost always, an Over Priced House will sit on the market longer and sell for less than it should have had it been priced strategically from the beginning.
Copyright © 2010 By Stephen Munson,Munson RealtyPasadena|Overpriced Homes-Sell Slower and For Less*overpriced homes,overpriced house
I maintain that you almost always shoot yourself in the foot by overpricing your home. Your home will almost always sale at or above market value by pricing at or below market value.
So why is that? Well think back at when YOU were buying a home. Remember when a “great deal” came on the market and everybody and their agents were “swarming” to the open house? You placed your offer only to find out their were 10 other offers and they were going above the asking price? This “bargain price” created an auction affect and got people excited. THAT is how banks are pricing their homes and if you want your home to move quickly and for the most amount of money, this is a winning strategy.
So why don’t sellers do it? I think it’s because there’s a little voice inside of our head (and pocketbook) that says “what if”.
“What if”- I can get $50K over market value. (even if someone were excited enough about your home to pay $50K over appraised value, their lender won’t loan the money if the value isn’t there. No loan, no buyer)
“What if”- I don’t get multiple offers and I only get one offer (May be still overpriced!)
Often fear (and greed) hold us back from making smart choices! Don’t feel bad though, even Real Estate Agents are guilty of senselessly overpricing their homes. Somehow when it’s our turn to sell all of our “market knowledge” becomes goo and leaks out of our ears! It’s like the hairdresser with bad hair!
The bottom line is, almost always, an Over Priced House will sit on the market longer and sell for less than it should have had it been priced strategically from the beginning.
Copyright © 2010 By Stephen Munson,Munson RealtyPasadena|Overpriced Homes-Sell Slower and For Less*overpriced homes,overpriced house
Friday, August 6, 2010
Mortgage Rate Falls Under 4.5%
Freddie Mac reports that long-term mortgage rates moved south again this week.
Interest on 30-year fixed loans hit a new low of 4.49 percent, compared to 4.54 percent last week and 5.22 percent a year ago; and the 15-year mortgage landed at 3.95 percent, down from 4 percent last week and 4.63 percent a year ago.
Five-year adjustable-rate mortgages reached a new low of 3.63 percent, down from 3.76 percent last week and 4.73 percent a year ago; while one-year ARMs fell to 3.55 percent from 3.64 percent last week and 4.78 percent a year ago.
Source: The Wall Street Journal, Amy Hoak and Nick Timiraos (08/06/10)
Interest on 30-year fixed loans hit a new low of 4.49 percent, compared to 4.54 percent last week and 5.22 percent a year ago; and the 15-year mortgage landed at 3.95 percent, down from 4 percent last week and 4.63 percent a year ago.
Five-year adjustable-rate mortgages reached a new low of 3.63 percent, down from 3.76 percent last week and 4.73 percent a year ago; while one-year ARMs fell to 3.55 percent from 3.64 percent last week and 4.78 percent a year ago.
Source: The Wall Street Journal, Amy Hoak and Nick Timiraos (08/06/10)
Friday, July 30, 2010
Record Lows Continue For Mortgage Rates
Record Lows Continue for Mortgage Rates
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to a new low of 4.54 percent this week from 4.56 percent last week and an average of 5.25 percent a year ago.
The 15-year fixed loan rate also hit a record low of 4 percent, down from 4.03 percent a week ago and 4.69 percent last year. The five-year adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 3.76 percent, compared to 3.79 percent last week and 4.75 percent a year earlier; and one-year ARMs averaged 3.64 percent, down from 3.7 percent and 4.80 percent, respectively.
Source: The Wall Street Journal, Nathan Becker (07/30/10)
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to a new low of 4.54 percent this week from 4.56 percent last week and an average of 5.25 percent a year ago.
The 15-year fixed loan rate also hit a record low of 4 percent, down from 4.03 percent a week ago and 4.69 percent last year. The five-year adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 3.76 percent, compared to 3.79 percent last week and 4.75 percent a year earlier; and one-year ARMs averaged 3.64 percent, down from 3.7 percent and 4.80 percent, respectively.
Source: The Wall Street Journal, Nathan Becker (07/30/10)
Thursday, July 29, 2010
Home Affordability the Best In Decades
There is mounting evidence that the residential real estate prices are picking up momentum, even though naysayers continue to suggest another sharp drop is just around the corner.
Tuesday's Case-Shiller home price index shows that San Diego has seen prices increase 12.4 percent in the past 12 months, second only to San Francisco among the top 20 metropolitan areas in the country.
So, set aside the real estate bulls and bears that have emotional opinions about where prices may be headed. Instead, what do portfolio managers who run real estate mutual funds think about the current market conditions?
Remember, these people can't just hope prices go up or down, they have to make investing decisions to protect their portfolios both when prices are rising or falling.
Daniel Kelley is the lead real estate analyst and portfolio manager of the Fidelity Select Construction and Housing Portfolio.
"Having just gone through a potentially once-in-a-lifetime down market, there is a bright light. Home affordability is the best in decades. In fact, on average, today's homebuyers have the lowest mortgage payments as a percentage of income in 30 years," wrote Kelley in a recent research report.
He also points out that inventories of homes for sale are at 40-year lows, meaning that homebuilders could be at a point where they could actually begin building homes again. The inventory of new homes for sale plunged last month from 9.6 months to just 7.6 months.
"I think well-capitalized public homebuilder companies are particularly well positioned to benefit from any demand improvement. These companies have had to survive through the worst market of our generation and many of the weaker firms went bankrupt," adds Kelley.
He adds that when sales ultimately pick up, new homeowners will be anxious to make their new abodes more livable, meaning trips to Home Depot and Lowe's.
"As the homebuilding rebound gains traction, companies in the building products group should benefit from improved capacity utilization rates. Homeowners looking to put their homes back on the market are frequenting home improvement retailers to make necessary repairs and updates in order to increase the sale price," said Kelley.
What about the commercial real estate situation? Kelley's colleague at Fidelity, Steve Buller, who manages the Real Estate Investment Portfolio, has a different opinion that most observers.
"While some commentators are calling commercial real estate the next shoe to drop, I don't believe it. In fact, you could argue that we've already seen the worst of the commercial real estate crisis.
Last year, commercial real estate prices had fallen roughly 40 percent from the peak. However, commercial real estate property prices have steadily risen, climbing 20 percent since their trough in May 2009," said Buller.
History says that real estate investment trusts -- and the stocks they own - have a tendency to rise months ahead of any actual turnaround in the markets.
When -- as always happens -- this recession comes to an end, many nonbelievers will find themselves left in the dust as markets move back into growth. The only problem, of course, is no one knows exactly when that will happen. - From George Chamberlin
Tuesday's Case-Shiller home price index shows that San Diego has seen prices increase 12.4 percent in the past 12 months, second only to San Francisco among the top 20 metropolitan areas in the country.
So, set aside the real estate bulls and bears that have emotional opinions about where prices may be headed. Instead, what do portfolio managers who run real estate mutual funds think about the current market conditions?
Remember, these people can't just hope prices go up or down, they have to make investing decisions to protect their portfolios both when prices are rising or falling.
Daniel Kelley is the lead real estate analyst and portfolio manager of the Fidelity Select Construction and Housing Portfolio.
"Having just gone through a potentially once-in-a-lifetime down market, there is a bright light. Home affordability is the best in decades. In fact, on average, today's homebuyers have the lowest mortgage payments as a percentage of income in 30 years," wrote Kelley in a recent research report.
He also points out that inventories of homes for sale are at 40-year lows, meaning that homebuilders could be at a point where they could actually begin building homes again. The inventory of new homes for sale plunged last month from 9.6 months to just 7.6 months.
"I think well-capitalized public homebuilder companies are particularly well positioned to benefit from any demand improvement. These companies have had to survive through the worst market of our generation and many of the weaker firms went bankrupt," adds Kelley.
He adds that when sales ultimately pick up, new homeowners will be anxious to make their new abodes more livable, meaning trips to Home Depot and Lowe's.
"As the homebuilding rebound gains traction, companies in the building products group should benefit from improved capacity utilization rates. Homeowners looking to put their homes back on the market are frequenting home improvement retailers to make necessary repairs and updates in order to increase the sale price," said Kelley.
What about the commercial real estate situation? Kelley's colleague at Fidelity, Steve Buller, who manages the Real Estate Investment Portfolio, has a different opinion that most observers.
"While some commentators are calling commercial real estate the next shoe to drop, I don't believe it. In fact, you could argue that we've already seen the worst of the commercial real estate crisis.
Last year, commercial real estate prices had fallen roughly 40 percent from the peak. However, commercial real estate property prices have steadily risen, climbing 20 percent since their trough in May 2009," said Buller.
History says that real estate investment trusts -- and the stocks they own - have a tendency to rise months ahead of any actual turnaround in the markets.
When -- as always happens -- this recession comes to an end, many nonbelievers will find themselves left in the dust as markets move back into growth. The only problem, of course, is no one knows exactly when that will happen. - From George Chamberlin
Monday, July 19, 2010
Buyers Should Shop For The Best Rate
Anyone shopping for a new mortgage these days should shop around, says Cameron Findlay, chief economist for LendingTree.
Although mortgage rates look astoundingly low, the spread between what the bank receives and what it pays investors has actually increased, giving banks more room to negotiate.
Applicants with good credit scores should aggressively seek the best rates they can find by comparison shopping, starting with the bank they usually do business with.
Source: The New York Times, Jennifer Saranow Schultz (07/17/2010)
Although mortgage rates look astoundingly low, the spread between what the bank receives and what it pays investors has actually increased, giving banks more room to negotiate.
Applicants with good credit scores should aggressively seek the best rates they can find by comparison shopping, starting with the bank they usually do business with.
Source: The New York Times, Jennifer Saranow Schultz (07/17/2010)
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